| Overall | 12W 5L 1T |
| District | 6W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 12: 4+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
7 6 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1338 207 Strength Momentum |
1169 58.5(14) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.003 | 1418 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1418 | 43% |  |
| 08/26/15 | Del Norte | 0.001 | 784 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1461 | 96% | |
| 08/29/15 | at La Cueva ? | 0.005 | 1218 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-5) | 1086 | 63% | |
| 09/01/15 | Cibola | 0.011 | 1414 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1266 | 43% | |
| 09/03/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.016 | 1371 | W 4- 2 | Better (+2) | 1445 | 49% | |
| 09/09/15 | at Sandia | 0.040 | 1114 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1285 | 74% | |
| 09/12/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.060 | 1070 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-4) | 1144 | 81% | |
| 09/15/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.085 | 1371 | W 4- 2 | Better (+2) | 1445 | 49% | |
| 09/17/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.101 | 1387 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1253 | 46% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hobbs !! | 0.104 | 1254 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1488 | 63% | |
| 09/23/15 | Albuquerque | 0.211 | 1399 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1309 | 45% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Valley | 0.181 | 1076 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1418 | 77% | |
| 09/30/15 | Rio Grande | 0.130 | 936 | W 9- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1484 | 89% | |
| 10/03/15 | at West Mesa ! | 0.180 | 1119 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1542 | 73% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.733 | 1399 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1378 | 40% | |
| 10/14/15 | Valley | 0.607 | 1076 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1398 | 80% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.332 | 936 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1451 | 87% | |
| 10/22/15 | West Mesa | 0.983 | 1119 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1269 | 77% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Atrisco Heritage actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1169, while
Atrisco Heritage's "weighted playing strength" is 1365
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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